By December 31, 2026, Apple will acquire, merge with, or otherwise legally take control of Anthropic.
Corporate ActionsAITechOne-Off3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 98.5%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleDec 31, 25, 9:41 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
By December 31, 2026, Apple will acquire, merge with, or otherwise gain control of Anthropic in any legally binding way (including acquisition, merger, or purchase of a controlling stake).
Open markets
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.7M
- 24h Vol
- $98.9K
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $214.9K
- 24h Vol
- $48.6K
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.1pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.0pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt2.1%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETIsrael Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Yes+49.5pt99%
- No-49.5pt1%
- Total Vol
- $24.7K
- 24h Vol
- $23.6K
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
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- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for By December 31, 2026, Apple will acquire, merge with, or otherwise legally take control of Anthropic.?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 99% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does By December 31, 2026, Apple will acquire, merge with, or otherwise legally take control of Anthropic. resolve?
- By December 31, 2026, Apple will acquire, merge with, or otherwise legally take control of Anthropic. is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is By December 31, 2026, Apple will acquire, merge with, or otherwise legally take control of Anthropic. settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: By December 31, 2026, Apple will acquire, merge with, or otherwise gain control of Anthropic in any legally binding way (including acquisition, merger, or purchase of a controlling stake).