What are the current odds for Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline??

Manifold Markets prices No at 98% as of August 17, 2026.

Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline?

PoliticsOne-OffElection

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No (98.3%)

Resolved: Aug 16, 2026, 3:10 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

No 98.3%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Stale

Aug 8, 26, 12:22 AMAug 16, 26, 3:10 PM

Probability Timeline

Yes1.7%

No98.3%

98.3%

Yes

1.7%

Rules

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if U.S. Representative Max Miller officially withdraws from his 2026 reelection campaign for Ohio's 7th Congressional District on or before the official state-mandated deadline of August 10, 2026 (86 days prior to the general election).
This market resolves to NO if he remains in the race past the August 10, 2026 deadline.
The outcome will be determined using reports from the Ohio Secretary of State or major credible news outlets (e.g., AP News or CNN).
U.S. Representative Max Miller (R-OH) is facing significant bipartisan and internal party pressure to exit his campaign for Ohio's 7th Congressional District following domestic abuse allegations raised by his ex-wife, Emily Moreno (daughter of Ohio U.S. Senator Bernie Moreno).
Miller has strongly denied the allegations and recently pledged to self-fund his campaign with $1 million.

Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline?

PoliticsOne-OffElection

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No (98.3%)

Resolved: Aug 16, 2026, 3:10 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

No 98.3%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Stale

Aug 8, 26, 12:22 AMAug 16, 26, 3:10 PM

Probability Timeline

Yes1.7%

No98.3%

98.3%

Yes

1.7%

Rules

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if U.S. Representative Max Miller officially withdraws from his 2026 reelection campaign for Ohio's 7th Congressional District on or before the official state-mandated deadline of August 10, 2026 (86 days prior to the general election).
This market resolves to NO if he remains in the race past the August 10, 2026 deadline.
The outcome will be determined using reports from the Ohio Secretary of State or major credible news outlets (e.g., AP News or CNN).
U.S. Representative Max Miller (R-OH) is facing significant bipartisan and internal party pressure to exit his campaign for Ohio's 7th Congressional District following domestic abuse allegations raised by his ex-wife, Emily Moreno (daughter of Ohio U.S. Senator Bernie Moreno).
Miller has strongly denied the allegations and recently pledged to self-fund his campaign with $1 million.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline??: Manifold Markets prices No at 98% as of August 17, 2026.
When does Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline? resolve?: Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline? is scheduled to resolve on August 16, 2026.
How is Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria

Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline?

Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline?

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