Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 7:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Yes 75.4%
Forecasters
37
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleJul 1, 25, 2:59 PM UTCNov 6, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolves N/A if Mamdani loses this year.
- Resolves to the next election.