Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 53.2%
Forecasters
41
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jul 31, 26, 9:06 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?
PolymarketWill Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Lindsay Clancy stand trial again for killing her three children?
Manifold MarketsWill Karmelo Anthony be convicted of first-degree murder for the killing of Austin Metcalf?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Lindsay Clancy is found legally guilty (convicted) of murder, manslaughter, or any criminally culpable charge related to the deaths of her three children (Cora, Dawson, and Callan Clancy).
- This includes:
- A jury or bench verdict of guilty on any degree of murder or manslaughter.
- A negotiated plea deal where she pleads guilty or no contest (nolo contendere) to any degree of murder or manslaughter.
- This market resolves to NO if she is found not guilty, or if she is found "not criminally responsible" (the Massachusetts standard for Not Guilty by Reason of Insanity / legal insanity) for all charges relating to the deaths.
Open markets
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+2.5pt65%
- Yes-2.5pt35%
- Total Vol
- $404K
- 24h Vol
- $31.8K
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Total Vol
- $578.1K
- 24h Vol
- $16K
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+3.0pt84.2%
- No-3.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
- $785.6K
- 24h Vol
- $9.4K
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Total Vol
- $11.4M
- 24h Vol
- $6.9K
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 307%
+3 more outcomes
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No86%
- Yes-3.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $670.9K
- 24h Vol
- $4.2K
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Maduro Prison Time?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Lindsay Clancy be convicted of murder of her 3 children??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 53% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Lindsay Clancy be convicted of murder of her 3 children? resolve?
- Will Lindsay Clancy be convicted of murder of her 3 children? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Lindsay Clancy be convicted of murder of her 3 children? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria