Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 80%
Forecasters
43
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 31, 26, 9:06 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?
PolymarketWill Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Lindsay Clancy stand trial again for killing her three children?
Manifold MarketsWill a Manifold user be convicted of murder by 2030?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Lindsay Clancy is found legally guilty (convicted) of murder, manslaughter, or any criminally culpable charge related to the deaths of her three children (Cora, Dawson, and Callan Clancy).
- This includes:
- A jury or bench verdict of guilty on any degree of murder or manslaughter.
- A negotiated plea deal where she pleads guilty or no contest (nolo contendere) to any degree of murder or manslaughter.
- This market resolves to NO if she is found not guilty, or if she is found "not criminally responsible" (the Massachusetts standard for Not Guilty by Reason of Insanity / legal insanity) for all charges relating to the deaths.
