What are the current odds for Will Lebanon return to a French Mandate before 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 93.2% as of October 28, 2026.

JavaScript is disabled. Core navigation and editorial pages remain available, but live market widgets, charts, search, and personalization features may be limited.

Paper trade this

Will Lebanon return to a French Mandate before 2030?

Middle EastOne-Off3y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 93.2%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 26 minutes ago

Nov 8, 23, 5:32 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolves YES if France controls Lebanon in a similar way after the fall of the Ottoman Empire.

Report a data issue with this market

Will Lebanon return to a French Mandate before 2030?

Will Lebanon return to a French Mandate before 2030?

Open markets

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

Which bloc will win a Knesset majority?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Open markets

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

Which bloc will win a Knesset majority?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?