Will Labour get <50% of the 1st preference vote in the 2026 Manchester mayoral by-election in any borough?

PoliticsOne-OffElection

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes (75.4%)

Resolved: Aug 1, 2026, 12:28 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

Yes 75.4%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 20 days ago

Stale

Jul 25, 26, 3:43 PMJul 31, 26, 6:41 PM

Trends

Yes

75.4%

24.6%

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Will Labour get <50% of the 1st preference vote in the 2026 Manchester mayoral by-election in any borough?

PoliticsOne-OffElection

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes (75.4%)

Resolved: Aug 1, 2026, 12:28 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

Yes 75.4%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 20 days ago

Stale

Jul 25, 26, 3:43 PMJul 31, 26, 6:41 PM

Trends

Yes

75.4%

24.6%

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Labour get <50% of the 1st preference vote in the 2026 Manchester mayoral by-election in any borough??: Manifold Markets prices Yes at 75% as of August 1, 2026.
When does Will Labour get <50% of the 1st preference vote in the 2026 Manchester mayoral by-election in any borough? resolve?: Will Labour get <50% of the 1st preference vote in the 2026 Manchester mayoral by-election in any borough? is scheduled to resolve on July 31, 2026.

Will Labour get <50% of the 1st preference vote in the 2026 Manchester mayoral by-election in any borough?

Will Labour get <50% of the 1st preference vote in the 2026 Manchester mayoral by-election in any borough?

Frequently asked questions

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