Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 78%
Forecasters
46
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleMar 31, 25, 10:38 PM UTCJun 1, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against Maryland?
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KalshiMacron vs Owens: Who wins the defamation lawsuit?
MyriadRules
To resolve YES, the lawsuit must result in Kalshi being fully available (including sports markets, trading, etc).
- This can be done through court victory or settlement.
- Resolves after all appeals or settlement.
- Robinhood integration is irrelevant, only the main site counts.
- Otherwise, resolves NO.
- Close date is a suggestion and may be extended
Open markets
Crime & Justice
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+2.5pt65%
- Yes-2.5pt35%
- Total Vol
- $404K
- 24h Vol
- $31.8K
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Total Vol
- $578.1K
- 24h Vol
- $16K
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+3.0pt84.2%
- No-3.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
- $785.6K
- 24h Vol
- $9.4K
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Total Vol
- $11.4M
- 24h Vol
- $6.9K
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 307%
+3 more outcomes
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No86%
- Yes-3.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $670.9K
- 24h Vol
- $4.2K
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Maduro Prison Time?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against Nevada??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 78% as of September 7, 2026.
- When does Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against Nevada? resolve?
- Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against Nevada? is scheduled to resolve on June 1, 2027.
- How is Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against Nevada? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: To resolve YES, the lawsuit must result in Kalshi being fully available (including sports markets, trading, etc).