Will John Bolton (American attorney, diplomat, political commentator) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
US PoliticsOne-OffPoliticsCrime & Justice3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 91%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJan 30, 23, 3:36 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that John Bolton (American attorney, diplomat, Republican consultant, and political commentator) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.
- Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030.
- Part of a large question series.
- Question is global -- charges in any country count.
- Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, were settled before a conviction, or if he was found not guilty.
- Minor misdemeanors do not count, only more serious (i.e. "felony") charges.
