Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 56%
Forecasters
31
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleSep 8, 24, 2:19 AM UTCDec 31, 49, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
This market resolves yes if, at any point before January 1, 2050, a female holds the position of head of state in Japan.
- It resolves no if no woman has held this position by that date.
- It resolves N/A if Japen ceases to exist.
- Japan has two distinct leadership roles: the Emperor (head of state) and the Prime Minister (head of government).
- This market concerns the head of state, currently the Emperor.
- A female regent acting on behalf of a male Emperor would not count.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Japan have a female head of state before 2050??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 56% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Japan have a female head of state before 2050? resolve?
- Will Japan have a female head of state before 2050? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2049.
- How is Will Japan have a female head of state before 2050? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves yes if, at any point before January 1, 2050, a female holds the position of head of state in Japan.