Will "'ISIS' cease to exist" "once [US forces are] gone" from Syria and Iraq?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will "'ISIS' cease to exist" "once [US forces are] gone" from Syria and Iraq??

Manifold Markets prices No at 88.5% as of October 11, 2026.

When does Will "'ISIS' cease to exist" "once [US forces are] gone" from Syria and Iraq? resolve?

Will "'ISIS' cease to exist" "once [US forces are] gone" from Syria and Iraq? is scheduled to resolve on September 4, 2050.

How is Will "'ISIS' cease to exist" "once [US forces are] gone" from Syria and Iraq? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market is part of a series of markets originally inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com, but now including Twitter predictions to broaden the search space.

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POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 12+1.2pt96%
• October 15+1.0pt93%
• October 31+1.0pt79%

+9 more outcomes

Total Vol

$10.3M

24h Vol

$673.3K

POLYMARKET

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

• Gadi Eizenkot+2.9pt46.4%
• Benjamin Netanyahu+2.0pt35%
• Naftali Bennett+1.0pt14.4%

POLYMARKET

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

• No Hormuz Agreement89.1%
• D6.9%
• R4%

Total Vol

$376.8K

24h Vol

POLYMARKET

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 15+1.6pt95%
• October 31+0.5pt86%
• November 15-0.5pt75%

+24 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

• March 31+0.5pt66%
• December 31+1.6pt43%
• November 30-0.5pt27%

+20 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

• No83.2%
• Yes16.8%

Total Vol

$73.4M

24h Vol

$200K

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
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• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
• Al-Shabab vs Al-Taawoun
• Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
• Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?