Current community forecast
No 56.8%
Forecasters
36
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 28 minutes ago
May 25, 25, 8:34 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 9:32 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Examples of flops: Humane AI pin, Rabbit R1, Google Glass.
- Resolves N/A if no hardware product before 2028.
- Update 2025-05-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated they are intentionally not defining "flop" further.
- Resolution will be based on their subjective judgment, using the standard of "I'll know it when I see it".