Current community forecast
No 69%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 22 hours ago
StaleAug 6, 26, 9:56 PM UTCMar 1, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Per today's article in Bloomberg:
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-08-06/what-is-openai-s-device-a-doughnut-shaped-speaker-that-costs-over-300
- the upcoming OpenAI hardware device will be puck-sized, portable, and will have microphone, speaker, camera, and mechanical moving parts.
- This market will resolve to my subjective opinion of the percent of that article that is accurate, once the device comes out.
- I will be pretty generous about this estimate.
- I will resolve once there is an official announcement with enough detail to be confident it will be released, what features it will have, and what form it will take.
