Current community forecast
No 72%
Forecasters
21
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleAug 23, 26, 5:09 PM UTCFeb 23, 27, 5:07 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the percentage of Americans identifying as Christian drop below 20% before 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill Jose Luis Ricon convert to Christian/Mormon Transhumanism by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Christian Affiliation in the United States Increase Over Five Years?
Manifold MarketsWill the first ASI proclaim Christianity true?
Manifold MarketsWill the Catholic Church train a PopeGPT and endorse it as doctrinally sound by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
I’m running an experiment where I will try to brainwash myself into becoming a Christian.
- I will remove any atheist content from my social media feed, attend my local Baptist church weekly, will try to read the bible near daily (this may be interrupted by my CPA studying schedule).
- Resolves yes if after 6 months (Feb 23, 2027), I consider myself Christian.
- Some considerations:
- I grew up in a culturally Christian but essentially atheist household.
- I can count on one hand the number of times I’ve attended a church service in my life (including today).
