This market resolved: No (97.9%)
Resolved: Oct 1, 2026, 12:07 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 5:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes2.1%
No97.9%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Google release a model officially named "Gemini 4 Flash" by November 13, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
PolymarketNext Gemini Pro Model released on?
PolymarketNext Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
PolymarketNext Gemini Pro model release
KalshiWill people be wearing the Apple Vision Pro in public in London by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if, before 2026-10-01 00:00 UTC, Google publicly releases a model whose official Google-given name contains "Gemini 3.5 Pro", available to the general public — paid tiers and public previews both count — through at least one of: the Gemini app, Google AI Studio, or the Gemini API.
- Named oracle (in priority order): 1.
- Google's official model documentation at https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/models 2.
- Official Google announcement posts on https://blog.google/ or https://deepmind.google/ DOES count: a public preview / "experimental" tag, as long as any member of the public can access it (including behind a paid subscription).
- Does NOT count: - Internal-only, invitation-only, or trusted-tester access. - Benchmark appearances, leaks, model-string sightings, or press reports without a Google release. - A Pro-tier model shipped under a DIFFERENT name (e.g. "Gemini 3.6 Pro", "Gemini 3.7 Pro", "Gemini 4 Pro").
- This market is specifically about the "3.5 Pro" name.