Will evidence emerge that Bo Xilai kidnapped Xi Jinping during a power struggle prior to Xi's ascension to Chairman?
PoliticsOne-OffChinaCrime & Justice1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 92.9%
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21
Question type
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
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Updated 28 minutes ago
Apr 9, 23, 10:42 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
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PolymarketRules
It is well known that Xi Jinping literally disappeared from existence (both in person and on the internet) for approximately two weeks during the runnup to the 2013 Party Congress where he would ultimately take power after reemerging from wherever he went with no explanation to this day.
- However, very shortly thereafter his primary rival for top job, Bo Xilai, was arrested and ultimately convincted of crimes largely attributed to his wife and sentenced to lifetime house arrest.
- There has long been speculation that something happened between these two that explains both Xi's disappearance and Bo's subsequent imprisionment and Xi's extensive purges of all rival factions as undisputed People's Leader.
- Resolution Criteria:
- This prediction market will resolve as YES if, by December 31, 2027, any of the following occurs:
- A reputable and widely recognized news organization publishes a report, based on verified and credible sources, that clearly indicates Bo Xilai's responsibility for Xi Jinping's disappearance prior to becoming president.