Will Estrogen become a scheduled substance in the US by the end of 2028?
One-OffHealth & MedicineRegulation2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 86.9%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleNov 10, 24, 4:03 PM UTCJan 21, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a psychedelic substance get de-scheduled by the US by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
KalshiWill 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
KalshiWill a drug that didn't go through human clinical trials be approved by 2034?
Manifold MarketsWhich engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]
Manifold MarketsHow much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027?
KalshiRules
Some people are worried about the impacts of a conservative presidency on access to HRT, given recent discourse around trans people.
- This market is part of a series of markets trying to determine the exact dimensions on which policy might change.
- For reference, testosterone is schedule 3
Open markets
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Total Vol
- $18.1M
- 24h Vol
- $23.2K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6K
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Total Vol
- $97.1K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.8K
KALSHIWhen will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Before July 2027+67.0pt97%
- Before 202872%
- Before October 202752%
- Total Vol
- $4.9K
- 24h Vol
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Estrogen become a scheduled substance in the US by the end of 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 87% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Estrogen become a scheduled substance in the US by the end of 2028? resolve?
- Will Estrogen become a scheduled substance in the US by the end of 2028? is scheduled to resolve on January 21, 2029.
- How is Will Estrogen become a scheduled substance in the US by the end of 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Some people are worried about the impacts of a conservative presidency on access to HRT, given recent discourse around trans people.