Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 20, 2026, 1:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 7.6%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 days ago
StaleApr 18, 22, 10:24 PMJan 1, 27, 9:01 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes8%
Volume trend
$500Jul 183d of dataJul 20
Related Markets
Testosterone unscheduled/rescheduled more permissively in US by end of 2028?
$581.6Yes: 17.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSPharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026?
$500Yes: 5.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill estradiol be available over-the-counter in the US before 2030?
$350Yes: 8.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
How much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027?
$0Above 5%: 95%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
$96.8KYes: 38%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
$38.7KBefore Sep 1, 2026: 4%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
HashKey MENA Secures VARA Approval for Crypto Derivatives as Regulated Futures Market GrowsBlockchain Reporter
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
Russia passes landmark crypto bill allowing regulated retail tradingThe Block
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Russia’s parliament passes crypto market law with $3,800 annual cap for retail investorsCoindeskRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.