Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
BitcoinOne-OffCorporate TreasuryMicroStrategyRegulationCrypto2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 96%
No 96%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$5.7K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$22.9K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
13
7d Change
+0.4 pts
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Feb 3, 26, 7:56 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy incorporated is margin called on any of its Bitcoin-backed loans by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resulting in either a forced liquidation of Bitcoin by a lender or MicroStrategy posting additional collateral or making a loan repayment in response to the margin call.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A margin call is defined as a lender formally requiring MicroStrategy to either provide additional collateral or repay part of a loan due to the value of Bitcoin collateral falling below the required loan-to-value (LTV) ratio.
- Voluntary Bitcoin sales by MicroStrategy that are not explicitly in response to a margin call will not count.
- The primary resolution sources will be SEC filings, official MicroStrategy statements, and a consensus of credible financial reporting.
