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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Bitcoin
  3. Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

BitcoinOne-OffCorporate TreasuryMicroStrategy6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 8%
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$200

Liquidity

$12.4K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

7.0% / 8.0%

Spread

14.3%

Wide spread
7d Change

+2.5%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Feb 3, 26, 7:57 PMJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes8%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy incorporated is margin called on any of its Bitcoin-backed loans by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resulting in either a forced liquidation of Bitcoin by a lender or MicroStrategy posting additional collateral or making a loan repayment in response to the margin call.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • A margin call is defined as a lender formally requiring MicroStrategy to either provide additional collateral or repay part of a loan due to the value of Bitcoin collateral falling below the required loan-to-value (LTV) ratio.
  • Voluntary Bitcoin sales by MicroStrategy that are not explicitly in response to a margin call will not count.
  • The primary resolution sources will be SEC filings, official MicroStrategy statements, and a consensus of credible financial reporting.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy incorporated is margin called on any of its Bitcoin-backed loans by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resulting in either a forced liquidation of Bitcoin by a lender or MicroStrategy posting additional collateral or making a loan repayment in response to the margin call.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • A margin call is defined as a lender formally requiring MicroStrategy to either provide additional collateral or repay part of a loan due to the value of Bitcoin collateral falling below the required loan-to-value (LTV) ratio.
  • Voluntary Bitcoin sales by MicroStrategy that are not explicitly in response to a margin call will not count.
  • The primary resolution sources will be SEC filings, official MicroStrategy statements, and a consensus of credible financial reporting.