PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Oct 30, 2026, 8:33 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
↑ $135 55%Leader of 26 outcomes
↑ $135 55%Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$439.4
Liquidity
$261.9
Low liquidityOpen interest
$640.2
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleOct 23, 26, 10:01 PM UTCOct 30, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
↓ $13012%
↑ $15050%
↑ $17050%
↑ $16018%
↑ $16548%
↓ $12524%
↓ $13543%
↑ $17550%
↑ $18050%
↑ $15531%
↓ $11528%
↑ $14551%
↓ $11050%
↓ $140100%
↓ $140100%
↓ $140100%
↓ $145100%
↑ $140100%
↓ $130100%
↑ $13555%
↑ $14050%
↓ $10550%
↓ $12513%
↑ $13555%
↑ $14050%
↑ $14550%
↑ $15050%
↑ $17050%
↑ $17550%
↑ $18050%
↓ $10550%
↓ $11050%
↓ $11550%
↑ $15531%
↑ $16018%
↓ $12015%
↓ $12513%
↑ $1652%
↑ $140Won
↑ $145Won
↓ $125Won
↓ $130Won
↓ $130Won
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketWill MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
