Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?
1.2 pts (24h)BitcoinOne-OffCryptoCorporate TreasuryMicroStrategy5mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability800k+ 89.3%+1.2pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$6.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+0.7 pts
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Dec 30, 25, 8:17 PMJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM
89.3%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
1M+12%
Compare venues· 800k+
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $0 | $6.8K | 14 minutes ago | |
 Limitless89% match · auto | Low | 87% | — | $0 | $0 | 14 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?
5mo
86.6%
13.4%
30 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$4.5
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy Incorporated or Michael Saylor officially announce that the company’s total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings.
- For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$5Jul 224d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy Incorporated or Michael Saylor officially announce that the company’s total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings.
- For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases