Will Strategy enter the S&P 500 index in 2026?
BitcoinOne-OffCorporate TreasuryMicroStrategyEquities2moFutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probabilityNo 95%
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$623.2
Low liquidityTraders
3
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
STRC hits $100 by…
PolymarketWhich bubble bursts first?
MyriadWill MicroStrategy ($MSTR) be excluded from the Nasdaq 100 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase September 29-October 5?
PolymarketWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?
PolymarketRules
This event predicts whether Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy Inc.) will be included in the S&P 500 index at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official inclusion notices published by S&P Dow Jones Indices.
- If S&P Dow Jones Indices announces and effects the inclusion of Strategy in the S&P 500 during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Subsequent removal from the index after inclusion does not affect resolution.
- If official notices are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major financial news organizations.
