Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?
55.5 pts (24h)BitcoinEl SalvadorOne-OffCryptoCorporate Treasury5mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityDecember 31, 2026 25%-55.5ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
25 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$39.3
Liquidity
$171.1
Low liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 38.0%
Spread
26.0 pt
Wide spread7d Change
+4.5 pts
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Aug 27, 25, 11:55 PMJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
December 31, 202625%
Volume trend
$39Jul 1014d of dataJul 28
Related Cryptos
Related Markets
What price will Bitcoin hit in July?
$1.2M↑ 65,000: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on July 28?
$798.4K60,000: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
BTC price on Jul 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
$556.7K$63,250 or above: 46%
KALSHI
KALSHIBTC price on Jul 31, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
$473.3K$65,000 or above: 23%KALSHI
KALSHIWhat price will Bitcoin hit on July 27?
$351.3K↓ 65,000: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How high will BTC get in July?
$255KAbove $67,500.00: 8%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Metaplanet plans Bitcoin-backed bonds yielding up to 6%Crypto News
Bitcoin shrugs off AI selloff but high-stakes Fed meeting could determine what's nextCoindesk
Ether ETFs Pull $104M, Tripling Bitcoin's Weekly InflowsThe Defiant
Bitcoin Options Market Signals Complacency as Traders Drop Hedges Ahead of Fed DecisionBlockchain Reporter
TD Cowen cuts David Bailey’s Nakamoto target 58% after bitcoin outlook resetThe Block
Metaplanet’s brokerage deal ‘badly undersells’ plans for bitcoin-backed ‘Bitbonds,’ Benchmark saysThe BlockRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the bitcoin holding officially owned by the Republic of the El Salvador government reaches or surpasses a value of $1b at any point by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The primary resolutions source for this market will be the ARKHAM INTEL tracker (see: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/el-salvador).
- Any temporary glitches or errors in the tracker will not be considered.
- If the tracker becomes permanently unavailable another credible source may be used.
- Official announcements form the government of El Salvador confirming their bitcoin holdings have reached or surpassed $1b in value will also qualify.