Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastForced to sell some or all of MSTR bitcoin holdings 95.2%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleFeb 5, 26, 6:34 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
PolymarketWill MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
PolymarketWill MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ?
Manifold MarketsWill MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?
LimitlessBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRules
MicroStrategy, with its CEO Michael Saylor, is one of the largest holders of bitcoin on Earth.
- With the recent downturn in the crypto market, questions begin to arise about the viability of the company's business model, and its prospects if the price were to continue to plummet.
- What will happen to $MSTR this year? Saylor has said he will never sell bitcoin, but can he keep that promise? Will the company declare bankruptcy? Or will all be well (relatively speaking)?
Open markets
BitcoinKALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $77,200 or above99%
- $77,100 or above99%
- $77,000 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.4M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $73,750 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
- $1.3M
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $77,329.48 target
- Yes71%
- No29%
- Total Vol
- $712.7K
- 24h Vol
- $590.9K
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- 70,000+0.1pt100%
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000-0.6pt97%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
- $68,500 or above98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $371.9K
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 10?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- How high will BTC get in September?
- BTC price range on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- How low will BTC get in September?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 12?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 14?
- BTC price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Fate of MicroStrategy this year?
- Manifold Markets prices Forced to sell some or all of MSTR bitcoin holdings at 95% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Fate of MicroStrategy this year resolve?
- Fate of MicroStrategy this year is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Fate of MicroStrategy this year settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: MicroStrategy, with its CEO Michael Saylor, is one of the largest holders of bitcoin on Earth.