Will Donald Trump outlive Angela Merkel?

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change-3.0pt92%
• 25 bps increase+2.0pt8%
• 25 bps decrease-0.1pt0%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$72.8M

24h Vol

$8.5M

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party+0.3pt90.5%
• Republican Party+0.1pt9.6%

Total Vol

$72.4M

24h Vol

POLYMARKET

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

• Gadi Eizenkot+2.6pt57.1%
• Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt28.6%
• Naftali Bennett-3.0pt12.2%

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party-0.5pt92%
• Republican Party8%

Total Vol

$23.7M

24h Vol

$2M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep63.5%
• D-House, R-Senate+2.0pt26.5%
• Republicans sweep-0.2pt

POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 24+0.1pt99%
• October 28+2.0pt95%
• October 31+2.0pt88%

+17 more outcomes