Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 72.9%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Aug 22, 25, 9:56 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026.
- Update 2026-04-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A qualifying model must be independent (not open-sourced) and sold commercially, whether via API access or subscription.
Open markets
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- 2027+3.5pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
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- 24h Vol
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KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
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- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $401K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.4pt62.4%
- ChatGPT-1.2pt23.8%
- Grok-2.6pt5.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-8.0pt63%
- 1490+-8.5pt54%
- 1500+-0.5pt28%
+2 more outcomes
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- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 73% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026? resolve?
- Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026.