What are the current odds for Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election??

Manifold Markets prices No at 99% as of August 16, 2026.

When does Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election? resolve?

Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election? is scheduled to resolve on August 15, 2026.

Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?

PoliticsOne-OffElection

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No (99%)

Resolved: Aug 15, 2026, 8:28 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

No 99%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Stale

Jul 20, 26, 6:34 PMAug 15, 26, 8:28 AM

Trends

99%

Yes

Rules

This market will resolve to YES if Count Binface is officially declared the Member of Parliament (MP) for Clacton following the by-election triggered on July 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to NO if any other candidate is declared the winner, or if the election occurs and Count Binface does not win.
If Count Binface does not officially register or stand as a candidate in the Clacton by-election, this market will resolve to NO.
If the by-election is canceled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve to N/A.

Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?

PoliticsOne-OffElection

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No (99%)

Resolved: Aug 15, 2026, 8:28 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

No 99%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Stale

Jul 20, 26, 6:34 PMAug 15, 26, 8:28 AM

Trends

99%

Yes

Rules

This market will resolve to YES if Count Binface is officially declared the Member of Parliament (MP) for Clacton following the by-election triggered on July 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to NO if any other candidate is declared the winner, or if the election occurs and Count Binface does not win.
If Count Binface does not officially register or stand as a candidate in the Clacton by-election, this market will resolve to NO.
If the by-election is canceled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve to N/A.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election??: Manifold Markets prices No at 99% as of August 16, 2026.
When does Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election? resolve?: Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election? is scheduled to resolve on August 15, 2026.
How is Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to YES if Count Binface is officially declared the Member of Parliament (MP) for Clacton following the by-election triggered on July 7, 2026.

Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?

Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?

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