What are the current odds for Will Count Binface get under or over 35% of the vote in the Clacton by-election??

Manifold Markets prices 34.99*% or less at 99% as of August 15, 2026.

Will Count Binface get under or over 35% of the vote in the Clacton by-election?

1.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElection

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: 34.99*% or less (99%)

Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, 1:30 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

34.99*% or less 99%+1.0pt

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

+13.8 pts

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Stale

Aug 3, 26, 6:12 PMAug 14, 26, 1:30 PM

Probability Timeline

35.00% or more1%

34.99*% or less99%

34.99*% or less

+1.0 pts

99%

35.00% or more

-1.0 pts

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Will Count Binface get under or over 35% of the vote in the Clacton by-election?

1.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElection

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: 34.99*% or less (99%)

Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, 1:30 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

34.99*% or less 99%+1.0pt

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

+13.8 pts

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Stale

Aug 3, 26, 6:12 PMAug 14, 26, 1:30 PM

Probability Timeline

35.00% or more1%

34.99*% or less99%

34.99*% or less

+1.0 pts

99%

35.00% or more

-1.0 pts

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Count Binface get under or over 35% of the vote in the Clacton by-election??: Manifold Markets prices 34.99*% or less at 99% as of August 15, 2026.
When does Will Count Binface get under or over 35% of the vote in the Clacton by-election? resolve?: Will Count Binface get under or over 35% of the vote in the Clacton by-election? is scheduled to resolve on August 14, 2026.

Will Count Binface get under or over 35% of the vote in the Clacton by-election?

Will Count Binface get under or over 35% of the vote in the Clacton by-election?

Frequently asked questions

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