Will China restrict the open release of frontier AI models above a capability threshold by end of 2026?
ChinaYearly5moManifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastYes 22%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 days ago
StaleJun 26, 26, 10:43 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes22%
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