Current community forecast
Yes 90.3%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 59 minutes ago
LaggingOct 6, 26, 6:34 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will California Proposition 45 (faster CEQA environmental review) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill California Proposition 44 (90% spending rule for community clinics) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill California Proposition 3 (extending high-income tax rates) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill California Proposition 42 (ban on new state personal property taxes) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsCalifornia Rainy Day Fund Proposition
PolymarketWill California Proposition 42 receive more “Yes” votes than Proposition 40?
KalshiRules
This market resolves YES if California Proposition 2 (Increases State's Rainy Day Fund.
- Legislative Constitutional Amendment.) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:
- Simple majority of votes cast on the measure (Cal.
- II §10(a); art.
- XVIII §4 for amendments).
- If conflicting measures both pass, the one with more yes votes prevails (art.