Will California, or any part of California, become an independent country before 2030?
One-OffUS Politics3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96.9%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleMay 29, 23, 4:10 AM UTCJan 2, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will California, or any part of California, become an independent country before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 97% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will California, or any part of California, become an independent country before 2030? resolve?
- Will California, or any part of California, become an independent country before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2030.
- How is Will California, or any part of California, become an independent country before 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves as expected