FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
No 92%
No 92%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$767.5
Low liquidityTraders
13
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030?
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Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExFed Decision in October?
PolymarketRules
This event predicts whether Greenland will become an independent sovereign state at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, independence means Greenland formally ceasing to be part of the Kingdom of Denmark and being recognized by its own authorities as a sovereign state.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official declarations or legally binding acts by Greenlandic and Danish authorities confirming independence.
- If Greenland formally declares and implements independence from Denmark during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Referendums or negotiations alone, without formal independence taking effect, will not count.
