Will Artificial Intelligence drive at least 3.5% of Global GDP in 2030?

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Artificial Intelligence drive at least 3.5% of Global GDP in 2030??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 83.7% as of November 2, 2026.

When does Will Artificial Intelligence drive at least 3.5% of Global GDP in 2030? resolve?

Will Artificial Intelligence drive at least 3.5% of Global GDP in 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.

How is Will Artificial Intelligence drive at least 3.5% of Global GDP in 2030? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://www.idc.com/getdoc.jsp?containerId=prUS52600524

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KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.0%98.5%
• Above 3.1%98.5%
• Above 3.2%98.5%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$682.5K

24h Vol

$21K

KALSHI

Jobs numbers in October 2026?

• Above -25,000-2.0pt91.5%
• Above 0-5.0pt82%
• Above 10,000+2.0pt

KALSHI

Core CPI in October

• Above 0.0%94.5%
• Above 0.1%-8.0pt81.5%
• Above 0.2%-2.0pt44.5%

KALSHI

Recession in 2027?

• No79.5%
• Yes+2.0pt20.5%

Total Vol

$821.5K

24h Vol

$8.4K

KALSHI

Recession this year?

• No97.5%
• Yes+1.0pt2.5%

Total Vol

$3.9M

24h Vol

$6.4K

KALSHI

CPI YoY in December

• Above 3.0%96.5%
• Above 3.1%96.5%
• Above 3.3%94.5%

• Core CPI YoY in December
• CPI in October
• Unemployment in October
• CPI in November
• How high will unemployment get in 2026?
• Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?
• JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026
• October Unemployment Rate
• US GDP growth in Q4 2026?
• Core CPI YoY in November
• US job openings in September
• China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?