Current community forecast
No 99%
Forecasters
21
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleMar 12, 24, 6:34 AM UTCJan 2, 27, 12:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will NASA's mission Artemis III find water and use it on the Moon?
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PolymarketRules
NASA's FY2025 budget request schedules the launch of Artemis III for September 2026.
- Will it launch before 2027?
- Resolves YES if a crewed launch in the Artemis program, as part of a mission named Artemis III and intended to deliver humans to the surface of the moon, lifts off the pad before 2027, local time at the launch site.
- For the purposes of this market, the mission must be named Artemis III and have the same primary goal that the Artemis III mission has at time of writing - to deliver humans to the lunar surface.
- Note that Artemis III may involve many launches - this market resolves on the launch of the one carrying humans.