Will there still be an Apollo moonwalker alive on the day the Artemis III crew walks on the moon?
CryptoOne-Off2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 74.4%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleApr 11, 26, 11:01 AM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Artemis III launches before 2029?
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Manifold Markets$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
PolymarketRules
If Artemis III will actually not be a mission where they set foot on the moon, the market will use the first American mission in which people walk on the moon.
- If the moon ceases to exist, resolves to a random number as generated by FairlyRandom.
Open markets
CryptoKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.9pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+32.5pt87%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
- 70,000+0.4pt100%
- 72,000+0.6pt100%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+11.9pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
+43 more outcomes
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- BTC 15 min · $78,497.72 target
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 8?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will there still be an Apollo moonwalker alive on the day the Artemis III crew walks on the moon??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 74% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will there still be an Apollo moonwalker alive on the day the Artemis III crew walks on the moon? resolve?
- Will there still be an Apollo moonwalker alive on the day the Artemis III crew walks on the moon? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2028.
- How is Will there still be an Apollo moonwalker alive on the day the Artemis III crew walks on the moon? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If Artemis III will actually not be a mission where they set foot on the moon, the market will use the first American mission in which people walk on the moon.