Current community forecast
No 97.9%
Forecasters
26
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Oct 28, 23, 6:09 AM UTCJan 1, 40, 10:59 AM UTC
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Artemis III flown with a crewed landing? x Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill there still be an Apollo moonwalker alive on the day the Artemis III crew walks on the moon?
Manifold MarketsArtemis III launches before 2028?
Manifold MarketsArtemis III launches before 2030?
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PolymarketRules
In August 2023, due to delays in the development of Starship, NASA officials expressed an openness to flying Artemis 3 without a crewed landing.
- In this case, the mission may become a crewed visit to the Lunar Gateway.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artemis_3
- Resolves YES if Artemis III is flown and a lunar landing is planned to be attempted as part of the mission
- Resolves NO if Artemis III is flown and a lunar landing is not planned to be attempted as part of the mission
- Resolves N/A if Artemis III is not flown before 2040
