Current community forecast
Artemis III not flown with a crewed landing AND The US returns to the Moon first 58.4%Leader of 4 outcomes
Artemis III not flown with a crewed landing AND The US returns to the Moon first 58.4%Forecasters
27
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleOct 31, 23, 6:51 PM UTCNov 11, 55, 10:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill Artemis III be flown with a crewed landing?
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Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. publish the text of its Saudi nuclear agreement by December 31?
Manifold MarketsWill China land men on the moon before the USA?
Manifold MarketsRules
This is a "market for markets".
- The answer will be chosen according to the resolution of these two markets:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/calderknight/will-artemis-iii-be-flown-with-a-cr)(https://manifold.markets/embed/JoshuaWilkes/will-china-land-people-on-the-moon)
