Current community forecast
Artemis III not flown with a crewed landing AND The US returns to the Moon first 58.4%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
27
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleOct 31, 23, 6:51 PM UTCNov 11, 55, 10:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Artemis III be flown with a crewed landing?
Manifold MarketsWill China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Manifold MarketsTrump Wins 2024 Presidential Election x China Lands a Person on the Moon before the US Can Return to the Moon
Manifold MarketsHuman moon landing in 2026?
PolymarketNASA's mission Artemis 3 to land the first woman and the next man on the Moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurTrump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?
PolymarketRules
This is a "market for markets".
- The answer will be chosen according to the resolution of these two markets:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/calderknight/will-artemis-iii-be-flown-with-a-cr)(https://manifold.markets/embed/JoshuaWilkes/will-china-land-people-on-the-moon)
