Current community forecast
2030 34.4%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
29
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleDec 10, 23, 6:11 AM UTCOct 23, 50, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Artemis III flown with a crewed landing? x Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWhich country would land the next person on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill NASA land a person on the moon before 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow many crewed orbital space launches will there be in 2028?
Manifold MarketsMajority of scientists believe there's life on K2-18 b before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves to the year that China first successfully lands a person on the Moon.
