On which year will China first land a person on the Moon?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for On which year will China first land a person on the Moon??

Manifold Markets prices 2030 at 34.4% as of October 31, 2026.

When does On which year will China first land a person on the Moon? resolve?

On which year will China first land a person on the Moon? is scheduled to resolve on October 23, 2050.

How is On which year will China first land a person on the Moon? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to the year that China first successfully lands a person on the Moon.

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POLYMARKET

Who will be in the 2027 Big Game halftime show?

• Jay Z+2.0pt93%
• Kanye West-26.5pt18%
• Miley Cyrus15%

+9 more outcomes

Total Vol

$64.4K

24h Vol

$64.1K

KALSHI

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

• Above 699.5%
• Above 799.5%
• Above 899.5%

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX+3.5pt58%
• Anthropic-4.2pt42%
• ByteDance0%

+9 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

• Google-1.0pt69%
• Anthropic-0.5pt27%
• OpenAI3%

+18 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

• Google-7.5pt41.3%
• Anthropic-1.0pt29.4%
• Meta-1.3pt3.7%

+18 more outcomes

KALSHI

When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

• Before 2028+1.0pt72.5%
• Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt59%
• Before Apr 1, 2027

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• #2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)