Selected book midpoint
1st hottest · —
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Stored reference
1st hottest 84%Leader of 4 outcomes
1st hottest 84%Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.9K
Liquidity
$6.4K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$1.2K
Bid / Ask
— / —
1st hottestSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Oct 30, 26, 2:35 PM UTCDec 29, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · 1st hottest
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2026 versus the data points available for all other Novembers on record.
- Note: If November 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column for the relevant month (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
- If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
- If no information for November 2026 is provided by NASA by the last day of the following month, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
