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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Space
  3. How many crewed orbital space launches will there be in 2028?
Manifold Markets

How many crewed orbital space launches will there be in 2028?

One-OffSpaceScience2y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
>= 5 78.8%
Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters

2

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated yesterday

Stale
Jun 16, 26, 8:55 PMDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

>= 579%

Rules

There were 8 in 2025, and 3 so far in 2026.

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Rules

There were 8 in 2025, and 3 so far in 2026.

Manifold Markets