Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 11, 2026, 4:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 21.2%
Forecasters
26
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 44 days ago
StaleFeb 20, 24, 6:42 AMJan 2, 50, 7:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes21%
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