Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 81.6%
Forecasters
22
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleNov 18, 22, 12:46 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will assisted suicide become legal in Michigan before 2045?
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ForecastExRules
In the US, suicide is "legal" in the sense that it's not technically a crime.
- But attempting to do it or even talking about doing it can get you imprisoned against your will and/or forced to take mind-altering drugs without your consent.
- Also, anyone trying to help you with it can be charged with a crime.
- So I'm using the term "allowed" instead, to get around its sham legal status.
- This market resolves to YES if someone can decide they want to die and then make it happen without significant inconvenience.
- Otherwise it resolves to NO.
Open markets
Crime & Justice
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+17.0pt65%
- Yes-17.0pt35%
- Total Vol
- $404K
- 24h Vol
- $15.4K
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Total Vol
- $11.4M
- 24h Vol
- $7.9K
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 20265%
- Total Vol
- $578.5K
- 24h Vol
- $6.6K
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-6.0pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+0.5pt42.2%
- 60++1.5pt38.2%
- 20–40-0.9pt8.8%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 more outcomes
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- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will suicide become allowed in any US state by the end of 2029??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 82% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will suicide become allowed in any US state by the end of 2029? resolve?
- Will suicide become allowed in any US state by the end of 2029? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Will suicide become allowed in any US state by the end of 2029? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: In the US, suicide is "legal" in the sense that it's not technically a crime.