Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (58.7%)
Resolved: Aug 11, 2026, 3:59 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastYes 58.7%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 days ago
StaleAug 11, 26, 1:52 AMAug 11, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
58.7%
41.3%
Rules
Resolves YES if: Before January 1, 2027, any U.S. state imposes a legally binding, statewide moratorium or pause — lasting at least 3 months or indefinite — on either (a) permitting/approval of new hyperscale or AI data centers, or (b) new large-load data center interconnections to the electric grid.
- • Qualifying instruments: state statute (signed into law), governor’s executive order, or a binding public utility commission order applying to all major investor-owned utilities in the state.
- • “Statewide” = applies across the state or to substantially all new hyperscale development in it.
- County/municipal moratoria do NOT count regardless of how many exist.
- • Carve-outs (e.g., exempting projects already permitted, or facilities under some MW threshold) are fine as long as the pause covers the bulk of prospective new hyperscale capacity.
- • Does NOT count: suspension of tax incentives alone, study commissions without a binding pause, voluntary utility pauses on connection requests, or bills passed by one chamber.
