Will any computer virus powered by AI cause large damages to digital infrastructure by 2027?
AIOne-Off3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 60.7%
Forecasters
36
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleSep 13, 23, 11:40 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
The market resolves if one billion dollars worth of damages to digital infrastructure is caused by an AI powered virus by 2027.
Open markets
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- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 more outcomes
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- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 more outcomes
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KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
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- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $406.5K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will any computer virus powered by AI cause large damages to digital infrastructure by 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 61% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will any computer virus powered by AI cause large damages to digital infrastructure by 2027? resolve?
- Will any computer virus powered by AI cause large damages to digital infrastructure by 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will any computer virus powered by AI cause large damages to digital infrastructure by 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The market resolves if one billion dollars worth of damages to digital infrastructure is caused by an AI powered virus by 2027.