Will Anthropic release a new line of models by the end of the year?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Anthropic release a new line of models by the end of the year??

Manifold Markets prices No at 85.8% as of November 10, 2026.

When does Will Anthropic release a new line of models by the end of the year? resolve?

Will Anthropic release a new line of models by the end of the year? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Will Anthropic release a new line of models by the end of the year? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves to YES if, between the market's creation and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT, Anthropic officially releases a new, distinct model line that does not belong to any of the following four existing categories:

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KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt99.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt99.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+4.0pt96.5%

+8 more outcomes

Total Vol

$4.7M

24h Vol

$653.3K

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 15,+4.0pt98%
• December 31,+5.5pt98%
• November 30,+9.0pt97%

+15 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.25–$1.5T+15.3pt44.5%
• <$1.25T+10.2pt23.8%
• $1.5–$1.75T-10.0pt21.8%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+10.8pt67.5%
• Claude-12.0pt26.1%
• ChatGPT-0.6pt

KALSHI

Time's Person of the Year for 2026

• Zohran Mamdani-1.0pt25.5%
• James Talarico+1.0pt18.5%
• Abdul El-Sayed+3.0pt17.5%

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T+0.1pt79%
• ↑$1.75T-9.0pt41%
• ↑$2.0T-13.5pt18%

+11 more outcomes

• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• AI bubble burst by which date?
• Best AI this month
• Best AI this week
• Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
• What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
• Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
• Anthropic IPO Date
• How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?
• TIME Person of the Year 2026