Will Anthropic cease operations or be acquired for less than $500 billion before 2034?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Anthropic cease operations or be acquired for less than $500 billion before 2034??

Manifold Markets prices No at 88% as of October 24, 2026.

When does Will Anthropic cease operations or be acquired for less than $500 billion before 2034? resolve?

Will Anthropic cease operations or be acquired for less than $500 billion before 2034? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2033.

How is Will Anthropic cease operations or be acquired for less than $500 billion before 2034? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The $500 billion will be inflation adjusted from 6/1/2026

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change+2.0pt95%
• 25 bps increase-2.0pt5%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$62.3M

24h Vol

$1.2M

POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes-1.0pt76.2%
• No+1.0pt23.8%

Total Vol

$1.1M

24h Vol

$48.6K

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

• Hike–Pause–Hike+2.5pt74.8%
• Hike–Pause–Pause-0.5pt21.2%
• Hike–Hike–Hike-3.4pt2%

+6 more outcomes

KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.3%97.5%
• Above 3.0%98.5%
• Above 3.1%98.5%

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above 0.0%98.5%
• Above -0.1%98.5%
• Above 0.1%+1.0pt89.5%

POLYMARKET

US economic state at the end of 2026?

• Overheating+11.0pt88.2%
• Soft Landing-7.5pt9.8%
• Slack-0.1pt1%

+1 more outcomes

• How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
• CPI YoY in December
• How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
• CPI in November
• Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
• US used cars and trucks CPI for October
• Core CPI in October
• Brazil inflation rate in October
• Core CPI YoY in December
• Owners' equivalent rent for October
• How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?