Will OpenAI cease operations or acquired for less than $500 billion before 2040?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will OpenAI cease operations or acquired for less than $500 billion before 2040??

Manifold Markets prices No at 62.3% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will OpenAI cease operations or acquired for less than $500 billion before 2040? resolve?

Will OpenAI cease operations or acquired for less than $500 billion before 2040? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2039.

How is Will OpenAI cease operations or acquired for less than $500 billion before 2040? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: the $500 billion will be inflation-adjusted from 7/26/2026

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POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change94.1%
• 25 bps increase+1.0pt5.9%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$66.9M

24h Vol

$4M

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

• Hike–Pause–Hike-1.0pt74.8%
• Hike–Pause–Pause21.2%
• Hike–Hike–Hike+0.4pt2%

+6 more outcomes

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above -0.1%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above 0.0%98.5%
• Above 0.1%89.5%

POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes76.2%
• No23.8%

Total Vol

$1.1M

24h Vol

$7.8K

POLYMARKET

US economic state at the end of 2026?

• Overheating+3.1pt98%
• Soft Landing-2.1pt2%
• Slack-0.4pt0%

+1 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

• 5.3%+4.0pt44%
• 5.4%+1.0pt23%
• 5.5%-1.1pt13%

+11 more outcomes

• How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
• Argentina inflation rate MoM for October
• Argentina Monthly Inflation - October
• How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
• Core CPI YoY in December
• CPI YoY in December
• Gas prices on October 26?
• Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
• CPI in December
• October Inflation China - Annual
• CPI-U index in October