Current community forecast
No 74.5%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 8:49 PM UTCDec 31, 50, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Riemann Hypothesis be solved before the Collatz Conjecture?
Manifold MarketsAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill two Millennium Prize problems be solved in the same year?
Manifold MarketsHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if all seven Millennium Prize Problems are officially resolved before the Collatz Conjecture is officially resolved.
- This market will resolve to NO if the Collatz Conjecture is officially resolved before all seven Millennium Prize Problems are officially resolved.
- Definitions and Rules:
- Millennium Prize Problems: The seven problems designated by the Clay Mathematics Institute in 2000:
- Poincaré conjecture (officially resolved)
Open markets
AIPOLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+24.5pt89%
- 2026+59.0pt82%
- September 30, 2026+56.0pt63%
- Total Vol
- $109K
- 24h Vol
- $69.2K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.1pt62%
- ChatGPT-1.9pt21%
- Gemini+1.3pt7%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.7M
POLYMARKETOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+53.0pt93%
- 2026+53.5pt73%
- September 30, 2026+51.5pt57%
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.25%-7.0pt88%
- Above 2.45%79%
- Above 2.6%+16.0pt56%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $70.6K
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture50.5%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer27.1%
- No solution by Dec 31, 202710.3%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $37.6K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- Tencent market share this week
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved before the Collatz Conjecture?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 75% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved before the Collatz Conjecture resolve?
- Will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved before the Collatz Conjecture is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2050.
- How is Will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved before the Collatz Conjecture settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria