What are the current odds for Will aliens make a public debut before 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 93.7% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Will aliens make a public debut before 2030? resolve?

Will aliens make a public debut before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.

How is Will aliens make a public debut before 2030? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Most believe that "first contact" has happened already.

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Will aliens make a public debut before 2030?

One-OffScience Space3y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 93.7%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 14 minutes ago

Oct 23, 23, 12:41 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 7:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Rules

Most believe that "first contact" has happened already.

When will the aliens finally publicly say hello to us on national television?

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Will aliens make a public debut before 2030?

Will aliens make a public debut before 2030?

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Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Open markets

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 29, 2026?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by which date?