Will Al take 25% of human jobs before 2040?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Al take 25% of human jobs before 2040??

Manifold Markets prices No at 54% as of November 3, 2026.

When does Will Al take 25% of human jobs before 2040? resolve?

Will Al take 25% of human jobs before 2040? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2040.

How is Will Al take 25% of human jobs before 2040? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution Criteria:

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KALSHI

Recession this year?

• No97.5%
• Yes2.5%

Total Vol

$3.9M

24h Vol

$26K

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above -0.1%99.5%
• Above 0.0%98.5%
• Above 0.1%+5.0pt93.5%

KALSHI

Jobs numbers in October 2026?

• Above -25,000-5.0pt89.5%
• Above 0-2.0pt81.5%
• Above 10,000-1.0pt

KALSHI

Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026

• Above 545,000 jobs96.5%
• Above 550,000 jobs94.5%
• Above 555,000 jobs-8.0pt64.5%

KALSHI

CPI in November

• Above -0.1%-1.0pt92.5%
• Above 0.0%+1.0pt86%
• Above 0.1%64.5%

KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.0%98.5%
• Above 3.1%98.5%
• Above 3.2%98.5%

• Dem sweep & US recession by end of 2027?
• 2026: Trump's dream year?
• Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
• US recession by end of 2026?
• Recession in 2027?
• Unemployment in October
• Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
• US GDP growth in Q4 2026?
• 2026: Trump's bad year?
• Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?
• Core CPI YoY in November