Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 88.6%
Forecasters
210
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 35 minutes ago
Feb 26, 23, 6:16 AM UTCDec 31, 60, 12:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This Market will resolve to no if any humans are still alive at the end of 2060.
- Otherwise, the ai will resolve it to yes.
- Creating this market as I am interested in the timeline as well as the outcome and we already have the same event on a 2100 timeline.
- Link to 2100 market: https://manifold.markets/JamesDillard/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th?r=SmFtZXNCaWxscw